Vernor Vinge: What If the Singularity Does NOT Happen?
Long Now: Seminars About Long-term Thinking - Un pódcast de The Long Now Foundation
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Technology acceleration is like what happens approaching the singularity in the center of a black hole--- everything is transformed utterly and unpredictably. That metaphor was invented by science fiction writer Vernor Vinge in 1980s and has entered standard usage as a way of thinking about the near future. In this talk Vinge challenges his own idea, investigating scenarios of "a human-scaled world with long time horizons," and how that might play out over ten or twenty thousand years.
